German Companies Increase Job Cuts Despite Economic Optimism

German firms plan more job cuts amid improving economic indicators, highlighting a complex labor market scenario.

    Key details

  • • The ifo employment barometer fell to 93.1 points in February from 93.4 in January, indicating increased job cut plans.
  • • The automotive sector faces significant layoffs due to high U.S. tariffs and competition from China.
  • • The construction sector shows some positive employment growth, while IT and legal services continue hiring.
  • • Despite rising job cuts, the ifo business climate index rose and the Bundesbank expects GDP growth in Q1 2026.

German companies are planning to cut jobs more frequently despite positive economic indicators, reflecting a complex labor market situation. According to the Munich-based ifo Institute, the employment barometer dropped slightly from 93.4 points in January to 93.1 points in February, signaling growing reluctance among employers to hire. Klaus Wohlrabe, head of ifo surveys, commented, "The reluctance in the labor market is increasing again," emphasizing that many companies are laying off staff rather than creating new positions.

Job reductions are widespread across nearly all industries, with the automotive sector particularly affected. High tariffs imposed by the U.S. and mounting competition from Chinese manufacturers have pressured this export-oriented industry to downsize. The service sector's employment barometer has also shifted into negative territory, with retailers planning to operate with fewer employees.

However, some sectors still show employment growth. IT services and legal and tax consulting firms continue to seek new hires, while the construction industry has slightly improved its employment outlook with plans for job creation.

This trend occurs despite an unexpectedly positive economic climate. The ifo business climate index rose in February, industrial order backlogs have increased for five consecutive months to levels unseen since October 2022, and the Bundesbank forecasts a slight increase in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the first quarter. Stronger economic growth is anticipated in spring, driven by government investments in defense and infrastructure.

In summary, while Germany's economy displays signs of recovery and optimism, many companies remain cautious about expanding their workforce, with job cuts continuing across key sectors. This divergence underscores ongoing challenges in balancing economic growth with employment stability.

This article was translated and synthesized from German sources, providing English-speaking readers with local perspectives.

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