Widespread Public Dissatisfaction Puts Chancellor Merz and Coalition Government Under Pressure

Recent surveys have revealed a significant decline in public support for Chancellor Friedrich Merz's government and the governing Schwarz-Rot coalition. According to a recent INSA poll, Merz's approval rating has dropped to an all-time low, with even supporters of the coalition distancing themselves from it. The survey highlights that Merz performs worse in public opinion than his predecessor Olaf Scholz after one year in office. This reflects broad dissatisfaction with the government's handling so far since Merz took office on May 6, 2025.

Another Insa poll conducted between April 29 and April 30, 2026, illustrates the depth of discontent among Germans. Approximately 75% of respondents expressed dissatisfaction with the government's performance, while only 16% were satisfied. Furthermore, 58% of Germans do not believe the current coalition between the Union and SPD will last the full term until 2029, with only 24% expecting it to endure. These figures indicate a fragile coalition outlook and voter uncertainty about political stability.

The political landscape has shifted considerably, with the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party gaining lead support at 28%, ahead of the Union at 24%, down from 28.5% in the 2025 elections. The SPD has dropped to 14% from 16.4%, while the Greens stand at 13% and the Left at 11%. These changes underline voters’ growing disillusionment with traditional coalition parties.

Inside the coalition, despite mounting dissatisfaction with their government's popularity and performance, no party or faction members advocate for an early exit. They emphasize their responsibility to ensure Germany's stability and are reportedly exploring ways to improve the coalition’s effectiveness. This acknowledgment reflects awareness of the importance of maintaining governmental action capability amid political turbulence.

The combination of low approval ratings, rising opposition support, and internal coalition concerns paints a challenging picture for Chancellor Merz and his government as they approach their first anniversary in office. The public’s lack of confidence and looming questions about coalition longevity will likely shape political discourse and strategy in the coming months.